Last update at 11 June, 2026 ⏲️ Reading time: 1 minute
NBA @ 11.06.2026
Game 4 of the Finals takes place in New York. The series sees the Knicks leading 2-1, but San Antonio have sent a serious warning after snatching Game 3 at Madison Square Garden 111-115. For me, the key is not to overreact to the last game. The Spurs have made defensive adjustments, but New York still has the advantage in terms of structure, more experience in tight finals and home court advantage. That said, the tight odds on the market already make it clear that another very close contest is expected.
New York Knicks latest
The Knicks’ pride has taken a knock after seeing their impressive run of playoff victories come to an end, but they are eager to build on their recent form. The latest official report lists Mitchell Robinson as available despite his hand injury, which is significant given his physical presence, rebounding and interior defence.
San Antonio Spurs breaking news
San Antonio arrive with renewed confidence following their best finish to a game in the series. Wembanyama is setting the competitive bar for the Spurs and the team has stepped up a notch in defensive aggression. The latest report shows no San Antonio players listed as injured.
Summary of the key factors in this match
- Series 2-1 to the Knicks: New York retains control, but the psychological margin has narrowed.
- Game at Madison Square Garden: the pressure is immense, though it should also spur the Knicks on.
- Very even pace: the series averages 107.0 points for New York and 104.7 for San Antonio.
- Tight market: the Knicks are slight favourites, by around 1.5 points.
- My take: there’s more value in backing the Knicks to cover the spread than in betting on a comfortable win.
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs: our prediction
New York Knicks +6.5
San Antonio have already shown they can compete and win in New York, but the series is coming down to the finer details and I don’t see New York falling behind at home in such a crucial Game 4. It’s a prudent bet, designed for a close-run game.
New York Knicks to win by 1-5 points
The three games have left the impression that there is no real gap between the two sides, and the market reflects this with a very tight line. My feeling is that New York will respond, but without breaking the game open: a close finish, long possessions and a narrow home win.
